Dr. Forbush Thinks

Here’s an interesting set of data from the Connecticut Senate race. Real Clear Politics does a good job gathering polling data from multiple sources. In general this results in better results. What they do with the data is average the surveys together. In this case, however this was a mistake.

There are three polls in this survey. The Quinnipiac survey taken 08/10 - 08/14 shows Lieberman with a 12 point lead. The other two later surveys, American Res. Group 08/17 - 08/21 and Rasmussen 08/21 had similar results showing Lieberman with a 2 point lead. The average is slightly dishonest saying that Lieberman had a 5.3 point lead. It should be quite clear that the Quinnipiac survey is an outlier.

Of course, you can go look at the data yourself.

It looks like this is shipping up to be a close race.




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Don't forget what Stephen Colbert said, "Reality has a well-known liberal bias."


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